张 春 周 琼
[内容提要] 新冠肺炎疫情的长时间持续正在改变国际关系的发展方向。非洲地区国际体系显示出高度的不确定性,但可以确定的是非洲正因疫情而进入发展转型期。在国家层次,经济重建、政治本土化与安全复合化发展正在推动非洲国家进入充满不确定性的调整期;在地区层次,由于治理能力和对外伙伴关系面临严峻挑战,非洲地区治理机制进入新的改革期,中等国家所提供的驱动力面临可持续性挑战;在全球层次,美欧挑动的大国战略竞争正向非洲蔓延,非洲与外部世界的关系进入重塑期。非洲体系性转型面临危机集中释放的严峻形势,如能妥善应对则将迎来重大发展机遇。
[关键词] 新冠肺炎疫情 非洲 国际体系 发展转型
Abstract: Against the backdrop of COVID-19 pandemic, African regional international system is stepping into a new period of transformation due to the pandemic. At the national level, the developments of economic reconstruction, political localization, and complex security development, are pushing African countries into a period of adjustment full of uncertainties. At the regional level, governance bodies represented by the African Union (AU) are entering a new period of reform due to severe deficits in terms of governance capacity and external supports. The driving forces provided by middle powers are facing challenges in terms of sustainability. At the global level, the strategic competition between great powers provoked by the US and Europe is spreading to Africa.
Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic, Africa, international system, developmental transformation
本文载于《现代国际关系》 2022年第2期